What to expect from Baldur's Gate 3's Black Friday sale

With the festive season, Baldur's Gate 3 is once again at the top of many holiday wish lists. Whether a first-time player is finally ready to see what the hype is all about or a seasoned adventurer looking at a second copy for a couch co-op partner, the same question resurfaces every November after 2023: Will Baldur's Gate 3 Go on sale for Black Friday, and if so, for how much?

For Baldurians looking for answers, a possible answer lies in the data we have. If the data proves accurate, a discount during the holiday season is very possible. However, there is a catch: Black Friday cannot fall within this window.

The pricing history below reflects fluctuations due to Steam discounts only. This excludes sales on PS5, Xbox, and other platforms.

Baldur's Gate 3 pricing history

Baldur's Gate 3 Launched in August 2023 to critical acclaim, sweeping nearly every major Game of the Year award. For more than a year, Larian Studios has only rang in discounts, keeping the standard $59.99 USD price tag intact with only minor cuts. But as the game matured and entered its second year on the market, sales became more frequent and deeper. Below is the timeline BG3Known price drops on Steam so far:

Winter Sale 2023 (December 21): $53.00 (10%)
Spring Sale 2024 (March): $53.00 (10%)
May 16, 2024: $50.99 (15%)
Summer Sale 2024 (June 27): $47.99 (20%)
September 5, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
November 4, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
Autumn Sale 2024 (November 27): $47.99 (20%) — Coincides with Black Friday 2024
Winter Sale 2024 (December 19): $47.99 (20%)
Couch Co-op Fest (February 10, 2025): $47.99 (20%)
Spring Sale 2025 (March 13): $47.99 (20%)
April 7, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
May 19, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
Summer Sale 2025 (June 26): $47.99 (20%)
September 1, 2025: $44.99 (25%) — New lowest price ever
Autumn Sale 2025 (September 19): $44.99 (25%) — The earliest Steam Autumn Sale ever

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This pricing pattern tells a clear story. Larian has gradually increased the discount threshold over time, settling at 20% as standard and 25% as the deepest record discount to date.

Will Baldur's Gate 3 Go On Sale For Black Friday 2025?

Baldur's Gate 3 is predicted to have a Black Friday deal Increasingly complicated thanks to changes to Steam's sales calendar. Unlike many games that run Black Friday promotions, Baldur's Gate 3The first and only Black Friday deal was through Steam's Autumn Sale. And a coincidence does not mean correlation in this case. In 2024, the Autumn Sale perfectly aligned with the Black Friday shopping window, offering players a 20% discount and possibly even the prospect of recurring Black Friday sales. However, the 2025 autumn sale started much earlier than usual, on September 19, not in late November.

What this could possibly mean for Black Friday 2025

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Based on past patterns, Black Friday discounts are still possible, though not guaranteed. In this case, a sale should be clearly tied to Black Friday or another theme. Separate thematic sales from Steam's calendar have occurred in recent history:

Back to Academy Sales: Starts September 1, 2025 (25% off)
Easter Sale: Started April 7, 2025 (20%)
Anniversary Sale: Started September 5, 2024 (20%)

However, the players are trying to score Baldur's Gate 3 There's no need to worry about sales this holiday season. The most reliable discount for BG3 Each year coincides with Steam's Seasonal Sale, and the upcoming one is Steam's Winter Sale. This year, the 2025 Steam Winter Sale runs from December 18, 2025 to January 5, 2026. This is historically Steam's biggest sale of the year, with many developers pricing games at their lowest prices. Because Baldur's Gate 3 With prices set for two new lows in 2025, this year's winter sales could yield better savings than last year's.

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Black Friday Sale Baldur's Gate 3 Could be due to seasonal trends, but the familiar 20-25% cut associated with Steam sales is more reliable than a surprise deal at this point. For many players, spending a little less to set foot in Ferun for the first time is worth the wait. And for someone eager to explore the threats of full or romance BG3 character at a discount during the final days of Thanksgiving weekend, the dice can roll a net 20 in savings.