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One analyst predicts that the Switch 2 will sell 4.3M units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches within the first half of the year.
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The analyst believes the Switch 2 will be strong, but the PS5 may top US console sales.
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Nintendo Switch 2 buzz is high, but success may depend on launch timing, hardware quality, and game lineup competition.
Gaming analyst Matt Piscatella shares predictions that Nintendo Switch 2 It will sell around 4.3 million units in 2025. By the end of 2017, the original Nintendo Switch had sold 4.8 million units, exceeding the company's expectations at the time. To meet the high demand, Nintendo flew in copies of the Switch. Fans are hopeful that this time, Nintendo has anticipated these types of issues and planned accordingly.
Many gamers are waiting to see when Nintendo's next system will be announced. The Switch 2 is regularly trending on social media, mostly because people are looking forward to its announcement, but this hype may not translate directly into sales. There are several factors that could determine how Switch 2 fares in 2025, starting later this year. The main factors seem to be timing, as well as the console's slate of games.
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Circana video game analyst Matt Piscatella shared that he expects the Nintendo Switch to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches in the first half of the year. Many expect the Nintendo Switch 2 to launch before the summer by April 2025, which would allow sales to increase during Japan's Golden Week holiday period and the usual global seasonal festivals.
The analyst predicts 4.3M Switch 2 sales in 2025
Seeing how the announcement is coming soon (but who knows) – I have Nintendo's next hardware device selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming a 1H projection), about 1/3 of all video game console hardware units. Sold during the year (excluding PC portables). — Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z
Piscatella expands on these predictions, in the United States, he believes that the Switch 2 will account for 1/3 of all video game hardware unit sales, outside of portable PC devices such as Steam Deck or ROG Companion. Overall. He notes the expectation of supply constraints for the Switch 2 hardware after huge initial demand, despite the uncertainty of the manufacturing resources Nintendo has allocated for the system. It's possible that Nintendo stockpiled Switch 2 resources to prevent a lack of production to coincide with the release of the original Switch, or the PS5.
Although Mat Piscatella believes that the Switch 2 will sell well, he predicts that the PlayStation 5 will manage to stand at the top of US game console hardware sales. There is a lot of hype for the Nintendo Switch 2, which could help with sales. However, on top of other anticipated titles launching on PS5 this year, Grand Theft Auto 6 Currently expected for a 2025 release, it could be a huge system-seller that could leave Nintendo systems. There's a lot of excitement surrounding the Switch 2, and depending on how impressive the Switch 2 hardware is with its launch lineup, it could lead the pack.
Nintendo Switch
The Nintendo Switch is a hybrid console launched in 2017, capable of being played in handheld mode or docked to a television. The Switch Lite, a handheld-only model, followed in 2019, with an OLED refresh coming in 2021.
